Archive for the 'Pandemic Preparedness' Category

Jan 01 2011

2011 Resolution – Be Food Prepared

Published by Kevin

There are many people who took action to be food prepared at some point in the last five years. And now that it is 2011, they are not.

Are you someone who bought bulk staples and tried to grow a sustenance garden – two, three, even five years ago? Did you watch the food go to waste unused and found you were too busy to keep it up. Now how prepared are you?

If on the other hand you bought a large freeze dried food reserve five years ago, you would still be as prepared in 2011 as when you bought it. And you would continue to be food prepared for another 20 years.

This is the same message I have repeated in many posts. Why keep repeating the message? I keep hearing from readers the same story again and again.

At some point they get enthusiastic about food preparedness. It is driven by fear created in some news story that seems like danger is imminent. They feel a responsibility to protect their family and others from the consequences of some news event of the day. They go around survival sites and get good information and decide that a life dedicated to being prepared is for them.

Then the event does not happen or was smaller than expected and does not affect them.

Remember Y2K, SARs, H1N1, Peak Oil scare 2008, depression and collapse scare of 2009-10?   These events did not directly result in people needing and using a food reserve. However these risks have not gone away.  And every time a risk gets newsworthy again,  you might remember the time and money you previously wasted on food preparedness that withered away a short time later.  What do you feel like doing? Getting prepared again or not? Maybe you just hope the risk goes away and take your chances.

So why not invest in being food  prepared? If this time however, you invest in something that is going to last a long time, there is no reason not to be food prepared.  When you really do need it, it is there for you and your loved ones.

For 2011, my hope none of us need to use our food reserves.

Unfortunately however in 2010,  I do know that some of us who have seen their jobs disappear with no good opportunities on the horizon have already started to use their food reserves. I hope that stops in 2011.

Kevin

3 responses so far

Published under economic collapse,Economic food preparedness,Emergency Food,Pandemic Preparedness,peak oil,Survival Food,Survival Food Reserves

Dec 27 2009

2009 ends with no collapse – be prepared for the predictable and the unpredictable

Published by Kevin

Food preparedness is the logical choice when confronted with real tangible risks.

Why would anyone spend all their resources to prepare for high impact low probability events, while neglecting local significant probability and high impact preparedness?

Live in an seismically active area – be prepared for earthquakes  (Freeze dried food & water)

Live in a coastal area that has hurricane disasters every 50 years – be prepared (Freeze Dried Food & Water)

Live in a coastal area that has hurricane disasters every 20 years – be prepared (MRE)

Worried about flu pandemics every 80 years – be prepared (Freeze dried food  & water)

Live in a flood plain that floods every 20 years – keep several 72 hour kits in your home and automobile (think about moving to higher ground too)

Worried about global economic collapse on a scale that has never happened before – be prepared (Freeze dried food  & water)

Shelf life estimates

Freeze Dried Food – 25 years

MRE – 5 – 7 years

MRE and food bars in a 72 hour emergency kit, in the trunk of a car in a temperate region (Atlanta) – 1 year or less

Buy and store bulk staples, let them rot due to poor oversight and then throw them out a year or two later = unprepared.

No responses yet

Published under economic collapse,Economic food preparedness,Emergency Food,food storage,Freeze Dried Food,Hurricane Food Preparedness,MRE,Pandemic Preparedness,preparedness,Survival Food,Survival Food Reserves,water storage

Aug 10 2009

Preparing for Swine Flu’s Return

Published by Kevin

Washington Post Article this Morning Preparing for Swine Flu’s Return

But many experts suspect the second wave could be more severe than an average flu season, which hospitalizes an estimated 200,000 Americans and contributes to 36,000 deaths. Because the virus is new, most people are not immune to it.

Well, I guess since Obama is visiting Mexico to talk about Swine Flu among other things and they had to write something ominous and menacing to take advantage.

If you are sceptical about swine flu news stories that is understandable.

On the other hand it does not hurt to be prepared.

No responses yet

Published under Pandemic Preparedness,swine flu,swine flu preparedness

Jul 27 2009

Swine flu in summer camps, schools next?

Published by Kevin

Saw this article in Los Angeles Times today;

Swine flu goes to camp. Will it go to school next?

Hundreds of children have been sent home from summer camps across Southern California in recent weeks with flu-like symptoms, and camp counselors and directors are taking precautions to prevent the spread of the H1N1, or swine flu, virus….

UC campuses are stockpiling supplies, from paper masks and hand sanitizer to food and water. Officials are going over worst-case scenarios ….

Ironically some summer camps choose to send the children suffering from mild flu symtoms home thus taking a concentrated infection group and spreading it out.

Swine flu has not had much of a serious impact yet,  other than imminent shortages of flu vaccine this fall.

No responses yet

Published under Pandemic Preparedness,swine flu,swine flu preparedness

Jul 25 2009

Rotting Bulk Food and Pandemic Hysteria

Published by Kevin

Small scale disasters happen often affecting many but usually in a small geographic area. A pandemic is a global threat that occurs irregularly and severity is variable. It will take a rare course of events to make the type of global impact you need to take diasater food preparation for.

Depending on where you live there are usually several types of disasters that you need to food prepare for. But what are the chances any of these disasters will occur in your lifetime? Did it happen to your parents or grandparents or previous generations who have lived in your area?

What is the chance of a disaster happening this year? This month? In 10 minutes?

The probability gets smaller and smaller. So why devote continuous and significant effort to be food prepared?

And if you are like most people who get concerned by a disaster threat and react by buying some bulk staples, what happens to the food when the laws of probability play out and nothing happens? The food rots and gets thrown out.

Why not be food prepared for 25-30 years with a one time action? The probability of a disaster occurring in that time frame is much higher than in one or 2 years, so if your goal is to be prepared whenever, you will be.

No responses yet

Published under Emergency Food,Emergency Preparedness Advice,food storage,Pandemic Preparedness,preparedness,Survival Food

Jun 11 2009

WHO declares a global swine-flu pandemic

Published by Kevin

The WHO raised the alert level from phase 5 to 6, meaning a global outbreak has begun.

Ordinary Flu kills about 300,000 to 500,000 people a year.

So far this flu has killed about 141 people.

Being prepared means not worrying about trying to distinguish if one threat is real and significant and requires action.

If you have already acted, you are already prepared for a threat whether it materializes or not.

No responses yet

Published under Pandemic Preparedness,swine flu,swine flu preparedness,Uncategorized

May 10 2009

Preparedness is not just for mega-disasters

Published by Kevin

Preparedness is not just for threats of mega-disasters that are far less likely to occur or impact you. It is the once in 10 year or 30 years or 50 year disasters that you are more likely to experience.

Wildfires, floods, earthquakes, pandemics, and hurricanes are things that, depending where you live, you are likely to experience in your lifetime at least once.

To prepare for these disasters you need to think long term. Life time preparedness needs resources that last a long time.

One response so far

Published under Earthquake Survival Kits,Emergency Preparedness Advice,Hurricane Food Preparedness,Pandemic Preparedness,Survival Food Reserves

Apr 29 2009

Swine Flu Food Prepared

Published by Kevin

The World Health Organization (WHO) has raised the swine flu alert to level 5 out of 6.

Margaret Chan Director-General of the WHO stated;

This change to a higher phase of alert is a signal to governments, to ministries of health and other ministries, to the pharmaceutical industry and the business community that certain actions should now be undertaken with increased urgency, and at an accelerated pace,

Certain actions should be taken now by individuals to be prepared.

The possibility of a serious impact caused by the flu is growing each day and as more information comes to light.

Being food prepared means having a one month to a six month long term food storage, preferably freeze dried food.

Why freeze dried?

Freeze dried food reserves lasts 25 years.

Meals are ready to eat just by adding water.

While the possibility of severe impact from a swine flu outbreak is higher now and growing, it is still not certain nor even likely yet to become severe.

If your long term food storage plan includes bulk bags of staples for an immediate threat, like swine flu, and that threat does not materialize what happens to the bulk staples?

The bulk food will sit in storage for awhile then they are thrown out.

Then one day a disaster does materialize and you are not prepared.

There is still plenty of time to order online and have freeze dried food delivered to your house.

Order lead times are currently one week to 10 days. But the lead time has been getting longer each day this week.

No responses yet

Published under Emergency Food,Emergency Survival Kit,food storage,Freeze Dried Food,Pandemic Preparedness,Survival Food,swine flu,swine flu preparedness

Apr 26 2009

Swine Flu Epidemic Planning

Published by Kevin

Being prepared for a flu epidemic like the potential 2009 swine flu means having supplies at home for an extended period of time.

According to the US government pandemic flu website;

Store a two week supply of water and food. During a pandemic, if you cannot get to a store, or if stores are out of supplies, it will be important for you to have extra supplies on hand. This can be useful in other types of emergencies, such as power outages and disasters.

I recommend one month to 3 months worth of supplies. Based on previous epidemics there are several “waves” of infection outbreaks.  Your ability to be prepared to stay home for extended periods of time at different phases of the pandemic may be vital to you and your families’ survival.

You should be immediately prepared and have at least two weeks supply at home of food, medicine (prescription and non-prescription), and other essentials. Anything that would force you to leave your home to try to find. It will also be harder to find these items due to supply chain breakdowns during a long pandemic outbreak scenario.

Three very important points for food;

  • Buy foods that are the same or similar to what you family can eat. Radical changes in diet can cause much more complications than you need in a crisis.
  • Store shelves will empty within hours once it is clear that the crisis is severe,  real, and imminent,  to most of us.
  • Try to get as “ready to eat” type foods as possible – you may be sick and not able to prepare foods

Fill any prescriptions you have for as long as possible. Purchase the regular medical supplies that you would consume over a 6 month period including cold and flu remedies as regular illness don’t go on holiday during a pandemic.

What foods to buy

As mentioned try not to stray far from foods your family is used to and that you know they will eat.

  • Rice – most people like rice and preparation is easy as long as you have a stove. Bulk 40-50 lb bags are cheap so if you don’t need to use it the waste will not cost much
  • Dry Cereals – try to stay with what your family normally eats, but healthier brands with less sugar are a better choice
  • Canned meats and fish – Sardines are great and cheap if you like them.
  • Canned Vegetables – Cooked is better for preparedness so they are ready to eat.
  • Peanut butter – if there are no allergies.
  • Water containers – I won’t spend money on bottled water, the water from you tap is good enough and you should have time to fill containers if a threat to the water supply comes into play.
  • Protein and fruit bars – read the labels, make sure they are not empty calorie bars that provide no nutrition

As I mentioned above once the perceived risk level is high in the minds of a critical mass of people the store shelves will empty quickly, due to the nature of our just-in-time food supply chain. Then there will a period of time before shelves will be partially and then fully replenished.

If you want to avoid this I would suggest you shop now.

Panic could set in within a matter of hours if the situation worsens.

For proper longer term preparedness of one to six months, I recommend freeze dried food.

The main reasons are

  • It lasts a long time so food will be there for a future crisis if this one, hopefully, does not materialize
  • You don’t need to panic buy when a crisis hits to be prepared, you are ‘always prepared’ for 25 years
  • Food reserves are ready to eat, only needing water to prepare

I just checked Nitro-Pak’s (emergency preparedness) website  and they say that as of today  “most orders will SHIP in approx. 1-3 business days. Food orders may take slightly longer.”

9 responses so far

Published under Freeze Dried Food,nitro-pak,Pandemic Preparedness,swine flu

Apr 25 2009

2009 Swine Flu versus 1918 Spanish Flu

Published by Kevin

The 2009 Swine Flu outbreak has “pandemic potential” according to the WHO.

One striking characteristic so far observed is the fact that young adults have been susceptible;

A number of reports have suggested previously healthy young adults — people ranging from their mid 20s to mid 40s — are making up a higher than expected percentage of the cases. With regular flu, young children and the elderly are generally at highest risk.

Helen Branswell MEDICAL REPORTER  Healthzone.ca “Flu outbreak a ‘public health emergency,’ WHO warns

The 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic also attacked young people in their twenties and thirties.  According to  Wikipedia entry on Swine Flu;

The puzzling fact is that the epidemic erupted almost simultaneously at distant locations, therefore it is likely that the virus was incubated in people with only mild symptoms or no symptoms at all. Other anomalous facts are that the disease attacked people in their twenties and thirties, thought to have strong immune systems, and most of the infections were lethal.

The NYC possible cases, where testing revealed they virus is likely Swine Flu, were also reported to be mild. Since information in 2009 travels a lot faster than 1918 it is possible that mild cases existed for some time in 1918 before the full onslaught hit – seemingly everywhere at once. Unfortunately due to our modern mobility in air travel, the virus is likely everywhere already and difficult to contain outbreaks even though we have information and technology to trace and identify even the mild cases very quickly.

The 1918 flu virus is a “swine flu” virus. Swine Flu virus’ circulating include H1N1, H3N1, and H3N2. The 2009 flu virus is also referred to as “swine flu” however there is a unique twist that was revealed in a CDC press conference yesterday.

Dr. Anne Schuchat, Director of CDCs National Center for Influenza and Respiratory Diseases, stated that;

we believe at this point that human-to-human spread is occurring.  That’s unusual. …. We know so far that the viruses contain genetic pieces from four different virus sources.  This is unusual.  The first is our North American swine influenza viruses.  North American avian influenza viruses, human influenza viruses and swine influenza viruses found in Asia and Europe.

I would feel better if she stopped adding the phrase “this is unusual” after each fact about the 2009 swine flu.

The fatality rate so far is significant but does not appear to be as high as the 1918 virus, if indeed it does evolve into a pandemic outbreak.

In terms of preparedness the only thing I would add to the steps in the previous post is to get a months worth of key items like toilet paper and anything that would cause you to go out of your residence if you didn’t want to for a week or two.

One response so far

Published under Pandemic Preparedness,swine flu

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