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Archive for the 'Pandemic Preparedness' Category

Aug 14 2008

H9N2 Avian Flu Strain - New Pandemic Threat?

Published by Kevin

While much attention has been paid to H5N1 and to a lesser extent H7 avian flu viruses the potential is also real for H9N2.

This is according to a research article (Replication and Transmission of H9N2 Influenza Viruses in Ferrets: Evaluation of Pandemic Potential) published on the website PloS One.

Per a related article in Science News one of the authors of the research article, Daniel Perez is quoted;

“The H9 may be a silent virus that doesn’t get noticed until it’s too late,” says Daniel Perez, a virologist at the University of Maryland, College Park.

A key finding in the article that raises concerns is that of an avian-human reassortant virus;

Unlike the H5N1 avian-human reassortant viruses that lack transmissibility in the ferret model [37], our H9N2 avian-human reassortant virus replicated in ferrets more efficiently than the parental H9N2 virus.

This is important as 2 previous flu pandemics arose from reaasortant viruses (the 1918 pandemic did not).

This is according the article titled Lack of transmission of H5N1 avian–human reassortant influenza viruses in a ferret model;

The pandemics of 1957 and 1968 were caused by avian–human reassortant influenza viruses that had acquired human virus-like receptor binding properties.

The 1918 H1N1 virus likely derived all eight genes from an avian virus.

More information can also be found in this Science Daily article Pandemic Potential Of H9N2 Avian Influenza Viruses.

What does this all mean?

1) The threat of a pandemic is just as likely now or anytime as it was a few years ago during the H5N1 scare.

2) Hugging a ferret that just escaped from a research lab is a bad idea, but you don’t have to worry if it sneezes.

One response so far

Published under Pandemic Preparedness

Jul 20 2008

Michael Leavitt on Pandemic Flu Impact

Published by Kevin

I found these interview comments by Michael Leavitt, US Secretary of Health and Human Services on the impact of a severe pandemic flu.

Michael Leavitt US Secretary of Heath on Flu Pandemic Impact

The emphasis on food preparedness and having a food reserve for up to 3 months mentioned in the previous post, the food reserve should be considered as a supplementary reserve that can be drawn on throughout the pandemic event when conditions warrant.

As Mr. Leavitt mentions the pandemic will come in waves and last up to a year, so you may need to draw on your food reserve several times until the pandemic runs its course.

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Published under Emergency Food, Pandemic Preparedness, Survival Food

Jul 19 2008

Pandemic Flu - Food Preparedeness

Published by Kevin

Awareness of the need for pandemic flu preparedness came 2 years ago when the risk of a pandemic outbreak from the avian flu virus (H5N1) escalated.

Fortunately, a flu pandemic did not materialize and the risk has abated somewhat.

However there is always that risk present as there were 3 pandemic outbreaks that occurred in the last century. And present conditions, even with the technology and medical knowledge available today, make the occurrence of a pandemic flu no less likely nor the impact less severe than in the past.

From a preparedness point of view what can we expect and plan for?

Here is a statement from the PandemicFlu.gov website;

A pandemic may come and go in waves, each of which can last for six to eight weeks.

An especially severe influenza pandemic could lead to high levels of illness, death, social disruption, and economic loss. Everyday life would be disrupted because so many people in so many places become seriously ill at the same time. Impacts can range from school and business closings to the interruption of basic services such as public transportation and food delivery.

With possible reductions in the food supply and a general desire to limit your exposure to other people and thereby risk of infection it would be highly desirable to have a food reserve of up to even 3 months for you and your family.

While it may be tempting to think that you will have time to prepare if the threat escalates again in the future, the fact is many preparedness food options will quickly become difficult to obtain.

Recently with the awareness of food price increases and as well as the threat of food shortages, which for the US became somewhat exaggerated for a time in some circles, the result was survival food quickly went out of stock with long lead times of 6-8 weeks.

While the availability of freeze dried food in #10 cans has come down to 2-4 weeks lead time now, based on this recent experience you can imagine what will happen when a future pandemic flu threat escalates and starts to get more and more news coverage long before the actual pandemic occurs.

So why wait?

Freeze dried food reserves for 3 months can be had for as little as $2.90 per meal.

3 responses so far

Published under Emergency Preparedness Advice, Pandemic Preparedness, Survival Food Preparedness in the News